Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 222.099144 249.981376 280.972416 318.148714 361.763775 411.591488 473.226535
2024-10-20 179.081972 215.319385 259.171401 316.836875 391.711419 487.116701 620.319011
2024-10-27 149.393307 187.016408 235.011470 301.948149 394.894494 522.540482 716.903288
2024-11-03 138.090108 179.060183 233.816174 314.348478 433.346699 608.868708 900.022403
2024-11-10 130.415481 174.341113 235.487234 329.785266 477.267506 709.882537 1129.186909
2024-11-17 119.886571 164.131444 227.732836 329.623145 496.566592 775.100316 1314.608576
2024-11-24 108.906313 151.975608 215.514263 320.527069 499.378578 812.368805 1457.860265
2024-12-01 99.866078 141.747384 204.983289 312.485604 502.199992 849.339998 1609.557732
2024-12-08 95.786756 138.581514 204.916394 321.392969 535.619644 948.886800 1922.503802
2024-12-15 90.684517 133.322385 200.896665 322.874595 555.410140 1025.455252 2208.833347
2024-12-22 84.798355 126.314263 193.320079 317.077060 560.219147 1071.713818 2436.460933
2024-12-29 80.696107 121.854504 189.560222 317.671520 577.594147 1148.575084 2773.588855
2025-01-05 75.295461 114.985474 181.313519 309.380652 576.372279 1185.074815 3018.507194
2025-01-12 71.511191 110.571097 176.997537 308.186613 590.221116 1261.223082 3421.624450
2025-01-19 66.106412 103.030766 166.535530 293.804551 572.966855 1256.175347 3557.514166
2025-01-26 64.976715 102.764618 169.119807 305.781616 617.121467 1421.443939 4382.171506
2025-02-02 64.267141 103.161300 172.919924 320.685378 670.909102 1629.446767 5521.746877
2025-02-09 61.680496 100.022318 169.801212 320.528889 687.880047 1735.859408 6313.078865
2025-02-16 58.264634 95.172604 163.048132 311.747654 681.591378 1769.465641 6790.228674
2025-02-23 55.225745 90.844123 157.014451 303.982616 676.873678 1807.517293 7325.507658
2025-03-02 54.218794 90.208694 158.179723 312.583681 717.473805 2009.415730 8954.851794
2025-03-09 52.506557 88.144083 156.329210 314.014144 738.609125 2151.151450 10392.465032
2025-03-16 50.198723 84.822080 151.700354 308.416462 738.803539 2216.399747 11402.174438